數字經濟對產業(yè)鏈韌性的空間效應研究

——來自中國283個地級市的經驗證據

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中圖分類號：F49 文獻標志碼：A DOI： 10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2025.12.019

Abstract：Basedonthedataof283prefecture-levelcitiesin China from2012to2021，thepaperconstructsthegeographic weightmatrixofubaneonomysesspatialautocorelationandspatialDurbinodeltovifytheaglomeraionharacteristics andspatialeectsofdigitalonomyandindustrialchainesilienc，andapliesspatitemporalgogapicallyweightedsion torevealtheheterogeneityoftheirdevelopment.Theresearchresultsarelistedblow.First，theindustrialtoughnessanddigital economyof283prefecture-levelciesinChinaallshowasignificantpositvecorelationagregationstate，andthecitiesinthe thirdquadrantareactivelyleaping tothefirstquadrant，withanoverallpositivetrend.Second，thedigitaleconomyafectsthe industrychaintoughnessinaninvertedU-shapedrelationship，whichisfistpromotedandthensuppressedandisfectedby economicdevelopment，openinguptotheoutsideworld，urbanization，marketization，governmentintervention，andthedegreeof education.Third，thereisasignificantspatialspiloverefectbetweenthedigialeconomyandindustrychaintoughnessThe enhancementof thelocaldigialeconomyandindustrychainresiliencewillhaveacertainradiationpromotionefectonthe neighboringregions.Fourth，theefectofthedigitalconomyonindustrychaintoughnessisspatiallyheterogeneous，witha weakereffectonthe toughnessofcentral citiesandastronger effectonthe toughnessof easternand westerncities.

Key Words： digital economy; industry chain resilience; spatiotemporal evolution; spatial effects

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當今世界經濟格局多變。（剩余9922字）