考慮負荷適應(yīng)度的“源網(wǎng)荷儲”優(yōu)化調(diào)度方法研究

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引用格式：，，.考慮負荷適應(yīng)度的“源網(wǎng)荷儲"優(yōu)化調(diào)度方法研究[J].現(xiàn)代電子技術(shù)，2025，48（10）：103-108.

關(guān)鍵詞：源網(wǎng)荷儲；風電功率預(yù)測；負荷適應(yīng)度；優(yōu)化調(diào)度；多時段模糊熵；經(jīng)驗?zāi)B(tài)分解中圖分類號：TN911.7-34；TM73 文獻標識碼：A 文章編號：1004-373X（2025）10-0103-06

Abstract：Asarelativelyindependentpower generationandconsumptionunit，itisparticularlyimportantforthe"soure network loadstorage"tooptimize thejointscheduling methodof"windsolarstorage"，soas tomaximizetheconsumptionof new energypower.Asfarasthethemeof grid-connectedpowerplaningforthewindandsolarstorageisconcerned，amethodof "sourcenetwork loadstorage"optimal schedulingconsideringloadadaptabilityisproposed basedonwindandsolar power generationpower forecasting andregionalloadchange trendcorrelationresearch.Atthedatasourceend，theadaptiveneural fuzzyalgorithmwithempiricalmodedecompositionandgeneticalgorithm（EMD-GA-ANFIS）isusedforthewindpower prediction，whilethegainsgmentednormaldistributionfiting（GS-GD）techniqueisusedforthephotovoltaicpowerprediction. Inoptimizingtheschedulingprocess，aloadfitnessfactorisintroducedtodynamicallycorrecttheinitialpowergenration schedulingcontroldata.Themulti period fuzzyentropy（MFE）isused tocharacterizethedeviationtrendofwindsolarstorage jointpowerprediction，dynamicalladjusttheenergystoragethroughput，andimprovethespacefornewenergyconsumption.The feasibilityoftheproposedmethodisverfiedbyacaseanalysisusingtheactualdataofasourcenetworkloadstorage"project inapark.Furthermore，usingtheactualdataofthe"sourcenetworkloadstorage"projectinacertainpark，caseanalysisresults showthat：whenconsideringtheloadchangetime，thepeak electricityconsumptionaccountsforthedailycycle，theadjustment range isset to 10% ，thecapacityreaches the minimum value of 21.2491kWh，with a decrease of 18.36%，which verifies the feasibility of the proposed method.

Keywords：source network load storage;wind and solar power prediction;loadadaptability；optimizescheduling;multi period fuzzy entropy;empirical mode decomposition

0 引言

隨著全電網(wǎng)新能源發(fā)電容量占比攀升，分布式發(fā)電項目接入電網(wǎng)比例持續(xù)增加，加劇了電網(wǎng)不穩(wěn)定運行風險。（剩余7657字）