基于復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)的我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口供應(yīng)鏈脆弱性仿真分析

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中圖分類號：F274 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)志碼：A DOI： 10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2025.09.027

Simulation Analysisof Vulnerabilityof China'sAgricultural Import Supply Chain Based on Complex Networks

LI Chenlong， WANG Yonggang， SUN Jiajia， LIU Haibin， CHEN Kejun（College of Management Engineering， Zhengzhou University of Aeronautics， Zhengzhou 45oo46， China）

Abstract：WiththecontinuousgrowthofChina’sintemationaltradeinagriculturalproductsandtheincreasingcomplexityofthe globalsupplychain，thestabilityandsustainabilityof Chinasagriculturalproductsimportsupplychainisfacing majorchallnges. Basedoncomplexnetworktheory，thispapersimulatesandanalyzes China’sagricultural productsimportsuplychain，firstly，con structsthesuplychainnetworkthroughtheconnetionmodeofBAscale-freenetworkandpartillyrandomconnectionmode， adoptsthedegreeofnetworknodestomeasuretheimportanceofthenodesinthenetworkandthenobservesthechangesofthe threenetworkieofustenfnttwokoicyndaialiviininteioalda domatackstoanalyzethevulnerabilityofthenetwork.Thevulnerabityofthenetworkisanalyzedbyobservingthechangesin thethreenetworkinicatorsofusteringcoeffcent，etorkcoectionfciencyandmaximmconnetivityunderintntioalat tackandrandomatack，andtheresultsshowthat：Whenthe"coreenterprise”isatacked，theagregationdegreeofnterprises inthesuplychainofChina’sagriculturalproductsimportsdereasesaswellasthespeedof informationtransferandlogistics eficiencydecreases，resultingintheincreaseoflogisticscosts.However，theimpactonteoverallconnectivityoftheetworkis small.Relevantpolicyrecommendationsareputforwardtostrengthentheprotectionofsupplychain"coreenterprises"，enhance the flexibility of the logistics service supply chain， and diversify the supply chain.

Key words： agricultural products; import supply chain; vulnerability; complex network; simulation analysis

0引言

我國是人口大國，保障農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的穩(wěn)定供應(yīng)是關(guān)乎國計(jì)民生的根本性問題。（剩余8701字）