基于嶺回歸模型的廣西物流需求預(yù)測研究

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中圖分類號：F272 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)志碼：A DOI： 10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2025.09.002

Abstract：Logistcsmakesupournationaleconomyanditisalsothebridgethatconnectseverylinkinthenationaleconoy. Atthesametime，asa tertiaryindustry，ithasverygooddevelopment prospects.Basedontheindependent variablemulticolinearity，theGM1，1）modelwasusedtopreicttheindicatorswithigcorelationbetweensixelatedinfluencinfactors andfreightvolumeinthenextsixyearsandthentheridgeregressionequationwasbroughtintoacounttopredictthelogistics demandin Guangxi.Finallacording totheforecastresultsandthe"14thFive-YearPlanfortheDevelopmentofGuangxisLo gistics Industry"， some suggestions are put forward for the development of logistics in Guangxi.

Key words： logistics demand; forecasting; ridge regression; GM（1，1

0引言

《廣西物流業(yè)發(fā)展“十四五”規(guī)劃》明確提出，到2025年，廣西將初步構(gòu)建一個(gè)“高效集聚”、“區(qū)域協(xié)作”、“創(chuàng)新整合”、“智能綠色”和“安全可控”的現(xiàn)代物流體系，并將廣西打造成“國內(nèi)外雙循環(huán)”的關(guān)鍵節(jié)點(diǎn)和中心。（剩余6958字）