江蘇省農(nóng)業(yè)科技進步貢獻率的時空動態(tài)評價

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關(guān)鍵詞：農(nóng)業(yè)；科技進步貢獻率；時空動態(tài)評價；省中圖分類號：F323.3 文獻標識碼：A文章編號：0439-8114（2025）05-0178-07DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.05.028

Spatiotemporal dynamic evaluation of the agricultural science and technology progress contribution rate in Jiangsu Province

XUMeng-jie1，HUYa-jun，ZHOUHong-ying3，JIAOLing-jia1，WANGLi-juan4 （1.Collegelii Changchun3oin；.hoolofogadlag，HaiinalUiversityHaio，agina;ite Rural Development，Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences，Hangzhou 31Oo21，China）

Abstract：TheCob-Douglas（C-D）productiofunctionasconstructedtoestimatetheelasicitycoefcientsof inputfactorsonagriculturaloutput，andthe Solowresidual methodwasthenapplied tocalculatetheagricultural scienceand technologyprogress rateandagriculturalscienceandtechnologyprogresscontributiorate.Theresultsshowedthatfromthe8thFive-YearPlantothe13th Five-YearPlanperiodinJiangsuprovince，oththetotalagricuturaloutputvaueandcapitalinvestmentdemonstratedgrowthtrend， but heiraverageanualgrowthratessloweddow.Exceptforthe9thive-YearPlanperiod，thelborforceshowedadecreasingtend inotherperiods，shiftingtosecondaryandtertiary industries.Theagriculturalscienceandtechnologyprogresscontributionratewas relativelylow during the 8th Five-Year Plan and 9th Five-YearPlan periods，but exceeded 50.00% from the 1Oth Five-YearPlan to the13th Five-YearPlanperiods.Exceptfor Wuxiand Suzhou，theagriculturalscieneandtechnology progressrateiJiangsuProvince ranged from 1.45% to 3.13% ，descending in the order of Nanjing，Xuzhou，Changzhou，Yancheng，Taizhou，Nantong，Yangzhou，Lianyungang，Zhenjiang，Huai’anandSuqian;teagriculturalscienceandtechnlogyprogesscontributionratecociis in Jiangsu Province ranged from 44.41% to 121.32% ，descending in the order of Changzhou，Yancheng，Nantong，Nanjing，Taizhou， Yangzhou，Xuzhou，Zhenjiang，Suqian，Lianyungang，ndHuaian.SystematicclusteringwasperformedusingSSS2.Osoftare， withthefirstclusterincluding Zhenjiang，Taizhou，Xuzhou，Lianyungang，Huai’an，andSuqian;thesecondcluster included Nanjing，Changzhou，and Nantong;thethirdclusterconsistedofYangzhouandYancheng.AstheconcentrationareaofagriculturalscienceandtechnologyinnovationresouresinJiangsuProvincesouthernJiangsuexhibitedasignificantlyhigheragriculturalscience and technology progress contribution rate than central and northern Jiangsu.

Keywords：agriculture；agriculturalscienceandtechologyprogresscontributionrate；spatiotemporaldynamicevaluation；Jiangsu Province

經(jīng)濟增長理論認為經(jīng)濟增長的總量可分解為兩部分，一部分源于投入要素增長，另一部分源于科技進步提升[1]。（剩余10602字）