基于耦合數(shù)值模型的降雨誘發(fā)滑坡-泥石流危險(xiǎn)性評(píng)價(jià)

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關(guān)鍵詞：耦合數(shù)值模型；泥石流；動(dòng)態(tài)演進(jìn)過(guò)程；危險(xiǎn)性評(píng)價(jià)；黃河上游中圖分類號(hào)：P642.2；TV882.1 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)志碼：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.07.011引用格式：，，，等.基于耦合數(shù)值模型的降雨誘發(fā)滑坡-泥石流危險(xiǎn)性評(píng)價(jià)[J].人民黃河，2024，46（7）：66-72，77.

Risk Assessment of Rainfall-Induced Landslide-Debris Flow Based on Coupled Numerical Model

ZHAO Chencheng 1，2 ，LI Xiuzhen’，LI Quanlin 1，2 ，GONG Junhao 1，2 ， SUN Jianguo 3 ， ZHANG Shizhe 1，2 （1.Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment，Chinese Academy of Sciences，Chengdu ，China;

2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences，Beijing 10oo49，China：

3.China Railway Changjiang Transport Design Group Co.，Ltd.，Chongqing ，China）

Abstract：ThegeomorhicandgologicalconditionsinteupperreachesofteYelowRiverareharacteriedbycomplexityandfragilty Disasterssuchbsudifalletsrefrtlyddittoc VillgedebrisflowofGideCountylocatedontheupperreachesofteYelowRiver，wasseletedastheprimaryresearchfocusinthis study.Basedoooflevatdataieldivstigatiosndmoessingtepretatondplogicaldcal staisticalodels，nludingte，low-，ndO-odels，oectiobetwnladslidesanddebrisfowwastablis， withparticularempasisplacedonteoleofinaliducedlanslidesastematerialsoucefdebrisflows.Acouplednumercalodel describngthedamicevolutioofaifallnduedladslidesndebrisflowsadeveloped，ndthdaiciskofrlianGulldebs flow，uderaarifallsearoaatiaieledoupdodltolcoatedeiueneftcgo conditionsoftedisasterevirometonthdebrisfowsoucebutalsoaountedforthedamicmaterialsourceprovidedbyal-in duced landslides.

Key words： coupled numerical model; debris flow；evolution process； risk assessment；upper Yellow River

0 引言

隨著全球氣候變化的加劇，暴雨等極端天氣事件的發(fā)生頻次不斷增多，目前降雨誘發(fā)的滑坡-泥石流等災(zāi)害的研究越來(lái)越引起國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者的廣泛關(guān)注和高度重視[1]。（剩余13174字）