涼山州三駕馬車推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系研究

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中圖分類號(hào)：F127 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼：A 文章編號(hào)：1004-0714（2025）06-0092-09

AStudyon the Dynamic Relationship of ThreeCarriages Driving Economic Growth in Liangshan Prefecture

ZHANGZhenmin，LUMingning，ZHOUXingtao （XichangCollege，6l5ol3，Xichang，Sichuan，China）

Abstract：Among the 21 prefecture-level cities in Sichuan Province，Liangshan Prefecture has outstanding resourceendowmentandlocation advantages，playingan important roleinpromoting regional economicand social development.This paper collects and collates thedata of Gross Domestic Product ofLiangshan Prefecture，investmentinfixedassetsofthewholesociety，totalretailsalesofconsumer goodsandtotalimports andexportsfrom200to2022indifferentyears，usestheco-integrationtestmethodandtheerror-corrected modeltoanalyzethelong-termand short-term equilibriumrelationships between variables，atthe same time， Exploringthedynamicrelationshipanddegree of influence between these variablesthrough VARmodels，use Granger test toclarifythecausal relationship between them.On thebasis of clarifying the dynamic relationshipbetween grossdomesticproduct，investment infixedassetsofthewholesociety，total retailsales of consumer goods and totalimportsand exports，proposeda focus of keyonthe promoting effect of total importsandexports volume and total retail sales of consumer goods on economic growth，At the same time，we should continue to promote investment in fixed assets of the whole society to achieve economic growth，And balance the relationship between investment and consumption. The research results provide strong theoreticalsupport for proposing strategies and measures in promoting high-quality economic growthin Liangshan Prefecture.

Keywords：Liangshan Prefecture; Economic Growth; Three Carriages; Dynamic Relationships

一、引言

2022年涼山州GDP突破2000億元關(guān)口，未來(lái)涼山州經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展如何進(jìn)一步發(fā)揮好資源優(yōu)勢(shì)，切實(shí)做好資源能源、特色農(nóng)業(yè)、文化旅游“三篇大文章”，積極推進(jìn)工業(yè)強(qiáng)州、農(nóng)業(yè)強(qiáng)州、文旅強(qiáng)州“三大強(qiáng)州戰(zhàn)略”，實(shí)現(xiàn)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)高質(zhì)量發(fā)展，需要梳理消費(fèi)、投資、進(jìn)出口推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的情況。（剩余13390字）