)。對兩組患者臨床資料進行單因素和二元Logistic回歸分析,篩選吞咽功能障礙的獨立危險因素,建立預(yù)測模型 P<sub>1</sub> ,同時基于SMOTE算法擴充低樣本數(shù)據(jù)集,構(gòu)建改進數(shù)據(jù)集的預(yù)警模型 P<sub>2</sub> 通過受試者工作曲線(ROC)評估模型的預(yù)測能力。結(jié)果 患者年齡增加、NIHSS評分增高、缺血病灶位于腦干及梗死灶面積 ?3cm<sup>2</sup> 是急性腦卒中患者發(fā)生吞咽功能障礙的獨立危險因素 (P<0.05) 。模型預(yù)測率 P<sub>1</sub>=1, P<sub>2</sub>=1 [1+e(-310+XX0.7X分析提示, P<sub>2</sub> 模型AUC明顯高于 P<sub>1</sub> 模型,差異具有統(tǒng)計學(xué)意義 t<sup>=10.642,P<0.001)</sup> ,且 P<sub>2</sub> 模型預(yù)測吞咽功能障礙的敏感度和特異度均高于 P<sub>1</sub> 模型。校正曲線表明,模型預(yù)測急性腦卒中的預(yù)測概率和實際概率具有較高的一致性。結(jié)論 年齡增加、NIHSS評分增高、缺血病灶位于腦干及梗死灶面積 ??3cm<sup>2</sup> 與急性腦卒中患者發(fā)生吞咽功能障礙具有密切關(guān)系。通過SMOTE過抽樣算法,基于以上危險因素建立的個體化預(yù)警模型對急性腦卒中患者發(fā)生吞咽功能障礙具有較高的診斷效能。-龍源期刊網(wǎng)" />

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基于SMOTE算法的急性缺血性腦卒中患者發(fā)生吞咽功能障礙風(fēng)險預(yù)警模型的構(gòu)建

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中圖分類號:R743.3 文獻標識碼:A文章編號:1006-1959(2025)12-0006-06

DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-1959.2025.12.002

ConstructionofaRiskWarningModel forSwallowingDysfunctioninPatientswith AcuteIschemic StrokeBased on SMOTE Algorithm

ZHANG Jia,XU Jing

(DepartmentofurologythecondAlatedHositalofjngdicalUversityUrumio,ing,a)

Abstract:ObeeTalhisctorsfalogfuciisutestroedtablisndidlag modelbasedonSOTElgoritMetodsAtotalof187patientswithacutescheicstrokeadmitedtoourhospitalfromJauarytoDecember 2022wereseeedAcodngttreatitsadspgiatddditosggoun=6ndallogfuc group(n=17)Uatedistcsalsefoolialataofoosofit independent risk factors fordysphagia,andaprediction model P1 wasestablished.At the same time,the earlywarningmodel P2 of the improved data setwasonstructedasedontheMOEalgorittoexpandthlowsampledtasetndteprediciveailityofteodelwaseaatedbyte receiveroperatigueOCsulseasdeasdoesicsioslaedinsedfct were independent risk factors for dysphagia in patients with acute stroke( P<0.05) .The prediction rateof model P1=1/[1+e-(-5.102+0.044×X1+0.164×X2+1.141×X3+0.725×X4)] , (20 P2 =11 +e P2 model wassignificantly higherthan thatof P1 modelt=10.642, (204 P<0.001 ),andthe sensitivity and specificity of P2 model in predicting swallowing dysfunction were higher than those of P1 model.The calibration curveshowstatthemodelpredictshighconsistencybetweenthepredictedprobabilityandtheactualprobabiltofacutestrok.Cocusion Increasedgeesdsiladistdzoelyaedtalogui inpatientswithcuetroke.ouhteOEoversamplingagoi,teidividualiedalwaingodelasedonteaboeisctos ahigh diagnostic efficiency for swallowing dysfunction in patients with acute stroke.

KeyWords:Acute ischemic stroke;Swallowingdysfunction;Oversampling;Model

吞咽功能障礙(swallowingdysfunction)是腦卒中(stroke)后常見的并發(fā)癥,患者主要表現(xiàn)為吞咽困難及飲水或進食嗆咳等,不僅可導(dǎo)致卒中患者產(chǎn)生心理障礙,且由于進食困難,還可進一步引起患者飲食量減少,導(dǎo)致營養(yǎng)攝入不足,并增加了吸入性肺炎,甚至室息等并發(fā)癥的發(fā)生風(fēng)險。(剩余7668字)

目錄
monitor