赤峰市農(nóng)業(yè)氣候年景評(píng)估技術(shù)研究

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關(guān)鍵詞：氣候年景；農(nóng)業(yè)年景；赤峰市

中圖分類號(hào)：S165.27 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)志碼：A 文章編號(hào)：2097-2172（2025）08-0748-08

doi：10.3969/j.issn.2097-2172.2025.08.011

Study on Agricultural and Climatic Status Assessment Technology in Chifeng

YUAN Li’，XU Liqiang2， ZHAO Yanan1 （1.Chifeng MeteorologicalBureau，Chifeng Inner MongoliaO240o，China; 2.Ningcheng County Meteorological Bureau， Ningcheng Inner Mongolia O2420o， China）

Abstract：Inresponse tothe increasing frequencyof extreme weather events in Chifeng，acomprehensive standardforannual agriculturalandclimaticstatusassessmentinthecitywasestablishedtolaythfoundationforgriculturalclimateearforecasting. Basednrelevantstandardsofanualclimaticstatus，datafrom14nationalbasicandbenchmarkmeteorologicaloservationstations inChifengdurig199120icdingtemprature，prcipiatiosshneoursoundmiutmperature，ndelatiesue index（M），wereused toconstructaclimateandweatherindexcalculationmethodsuitableforagriculturalproductionin Chifeng.The methodintegratedbothmeteorologicalelementsanddisasters.Maindisastertypeswereselectedacordingtolocalclimatic characteristics toconductanojectiveandquantitativeaessmentof agricuturalclimateyears，nderesults werevalidatedusing yielddata.Resultsshowedthatmeteorologicalelementconditionsshowedinsignificantinterannualvartionsinrecentyears，while meteorologicaldisasterconditionsexhibitedadeterioratingtrend.Theagriculturalclimateyearindexdemonstratedasignificant upward trendatO.78perdecade.Theasessmentresultswere generallyconsistent withchanges inagriculturalyield，withabasic consistency rate（discrepancy within two levels） of 86.67% ，indicating the index can qualitatively reflect annual agricultural conditions.Thefindingsprovideascientific，quantiativereferenceforclimateservicesbytheChifeng MeteorologicalDepartent and can also support climate year assessments in agricultural sectors.

Key Words： Annual climate status; Annual agriculture status; Chifeng City

農(nóng)業(yè)是赤峰市主要產(chǎn)業(yè)之一，農(nóng)牧民人口占總?cè)丝?3/4 。（剩余10327字）