中國可再生能源分區(qū)域消納潛力研究

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摘要：目前，光伏發(fā)電、風(fēng)電的裝機(jī)規(guī)模均已超越水電，二者合計裝機(jī)規(guī)模已超過煤電，成為電力裝機(jī)主體。在分析我國可再生能源發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上，以光伏發(fā)電、風(fēng)電為主要研究對象，設(shè)計可再生能源開發(fā)潛力晴雨模型，對未來一段時間我國可再生能源開發(fā)環(huán)境和運行情況進(jìn)行綜合預(yù)測評價，分區(qū)域定量分析可再生能源消納潛力。

關(guān)鍵詞：可再生能源；消納潛力；分區(qū)域；晴雨模型

中圖分類號：TP308 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識碼：A 文章編號：1008-9500（2024）09-00-03

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Research on the Regional Consumption Potential of Renewable Energy in China

YU Yanlong1， LIU Jiaqi2， ZHANG Yuqing3， WANG Xinhao3，4， LYU Lanchun3，4

（1. China Renewable Energy Engineering Institute， Beijing 100120， China;

2. Guohua Energy Investment Co.， Ltd.， Beijing 100007， China;

3. Sichuan Energy Internet Research Institute Tsinghua University， Chengdu 610218， China; 4. Tsinghua University，Beijing 100084， China）

Abstract： At present， the installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation and wind power has surpassed hydropower， and the combined installed capacity of the two has surpassed coal-fired power generation， becoming the main body of power installation. On the basis of analyzing the current development status of renewable energy in China， this article focuses on photovoltaic power generation and wind power as the main research objects， designs a potential sunshine-rain model for renewable energy development， and comprehensively predicts and evaluates the development environment and operation of renewable energy in China in the future. It quantitatively analyzes the consumption potential of renewable energy in different regions.

Keywords： renewable energy; consumption potential; regional division; sunshine-rain model

在“雙碳”背景下，電力行業(yè)實施低碳轉(zhuǎn)型將助力降碳減排，推動能源結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級，促進(jìn)可再生能源發(fā)展。（剩余3167字）